Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.001479 0.001569 0.001663 0.001767 0.001879 0.001996 0.002129
2025-02-16 0.001383 0.001517 0.001659 0.001825 0.002011 0.002215 0.002456
2025-02-23 0.001280 0.001437 0.001611 0.001818 0.002059 0.002333 0.002669
2025-03-02 0.001177 0.001346 0.001538 0.001772 0.002052 0.002378 0.002792
2025-03-09 0.001100 0.001278 0.001483 0.001740 0.002055 0.002431 0.002919
2025-03-16 0.001049 0.001236 0.001457 0.001737 0.002088 0.002517 0.003089
2025-03-23 0.000998 0.001190 0.001420 0.001718 0.002098 0.002573 0.003220
2025-03-30 0.000957 0.001155 0.001395 0.001711 0.002121 0.002643 0.003371
2025-04-06 0.000913 0.001114 0.001359 0.001687 0.002120 0.002681 0.003478
2025-04-13 0.000872 0.001073 0.001322 0.001660 0.002111 0.002706 0.003568
2025-04-20 0.000821 0.001018 0.001265 0.001602 0.002060 0.002671 0.003570
2025-04-27 0.000805 0.001008 0.001265 0.001620 0.002110 0.002775 0.003773
2025-05-04 0.000786 0.000994 0.001262 0.001638 0.002166 0.002896 0.004017
2025-05-11 0.000783 0.001002 0.001288 0.001697 0.002281 0.003108 0.004411
2025-05-18 0.000757 0.000978 0.001269 0.001692 0.002305 0.003190 0.004614
2025-05-25 0.000720 0.000937 0.001226 0.001650 0.002273 0.003186 0.004682
2025-06-01 0.000690 0.000904 0.001193 0.001621 0.002259 0.003207 0.004789
2025-06-08 0.000671 0.000886 0.001179 0.001618 0.002282 0.003285 0.004993
2025-06-15 0.000648 0.000862 0.001155 0.001601 0.002283 0.003328 0.005141
2025-06-22 0.000630 0.000843 0.001140 0.001594 0.002299 0.003395 0.005332
2025-06-29 0.000608 0.000819 0.001115 0.001573 0.002290 0.003421 0.005453
2025-07-06 0.000586 0.000795 0.001089 0.001547 0.002274 0.003435 0.005553
2025-07-13 0.000558 0.000760 0.001046 0.001495 0.002213 0.003370 0.005508